I wonder if a new slew of work-from-home gigs pop up in the face of a possible long battle with COVID19 (and I pray, pray, pray we don't have more vicious waves a la the Spanish flu)?
If we don't get a vaccine, will this have a lasting impact on the nature of work for years?
Will people be working from home much more? We have technology that could certainly support that.
The best case scenario seems:
a.) first and foremost flattening the curve to prevent a near-term health disaster
b.) summer weather conditions (for whatever reason - natural and/or behavioral) stomping out a lot of the virus
c.) no vicious second wave in the fall/winter
d.) vaccine by 2021
IF those conditions hold, maybe the world (not just the U.S.) can resume a state of normalcy. If not, I wouldn't have any guesses. It's definitely an interesting question.
I do think UBI will likely play a bigger role in the future should COVID19 be a long fight.