Steve, I have been traveling to Mexico and several destinations within the US for over 20 years every winter. I am usually bouncing around from place to place for at least a month each winter--usually we go for 2 weeks in November or December and then leave again in January for 2-4 weeks. I am very used to traveling, and while it may be common for other people to get sick during winter travel, it is very unusual for me. I have maybe had a cold twice in the past 20 years and I have never had the flu as an adult (not sure about as a child but doubtful).
And while I know that there were not any cases CONFIRMED in December in Mexico, that doesn't mean that there weren't any. It's possible that people who were sick (perhaps with COVID-19) didn't go to the doctor when they got sick, and if they did, the doctors didn't know what it was and had no way to test for it. I know that there were plenty of people from Asia and Europe at our resort when we were there (for two weeks) and some of the staff members were sick--and none of the staff members we talked to who weren't feeling well went to the doctor but they sure did not miss work, either. It might have been a cold or something else, but who knows. I just know that it was very different from what I have previously experienced.
Yes, I do know that I might not have immunity if I did manage to contract the virus. I also know that it's possible for reinfections, even though there is a possibility that the virus just remains dormant inside the body and then represents later. There was a case in Italy of a woman who had conjunctivitis and had the virus for 3 weeks. After 3 weeks, her nose tested negative but her eye fluids tested positive, so she was still carrying it. There have been reports of reinfections from people in Wuhan who had it a few months earlier. I also think that there is a chance they won't be able to create a 100% effective vaccine. Keeping fingers crossed that they can.
I haven't been out in public or exposed to anyone else (other than my sister who was self-quarantined for several weeks before we came within 10 feet of each other) since March 27th. I have been carefully and methodically disinfecting all of my food items from my contactless grocery pickups and have not eaten food from takeout restaurants since mid March. If I didn't get it before, it's unlikely I managed to contract it over the past 5 weeks.
I have no idea if there are antibody tests available in my part of the Midwest. I am going to guess it's unlikely, though I plan on inquiring about it this week through my health provider.
I plan on getting a flu shot for the first time in early fall when it becomes available. It will be my first flu shot in my life, but I have heard health experts say that it will help healthcare workers exponentially for people to get the flu shot to help differentiate from COVID-19 this fall.
@SteveSoCal wrote:
A-Mexico was late to the game in getting hit. Their numbers are still on the exponential increase. Chances are more likely it was another bug, which is common in winter travel.
B-Don't count on immunity even if the virus you caught was COVID. The mutation since then could leave you open to re-infection, and you need to have a particular level of antibodies for an expectation of immunity that not everyone with a light case might have.
Ultimately, I think everyone should be getting the blood tests, even if just to help the CDC track spread, but be sure to get the newer tests that use a standard blood draw, rather than a finger prick and test strip. The full blood draw will give you an exact count of antibodies so you will know if you have been exposed, and if you can expect some immunity.
Sadly, there are just no guarantees right now, and won't be for a while. The medical community seems to agree that a mutated strain will very likely return in winter, so those who are compromised in any way will need to be extra cautious for at least the rest of this year. For many, that means re-thinking their game plan for work, side-gig, or even enhanced lifestyles.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 05/03/2020 04:48PM by JASFLALMT.