The survival data cited above is misleading, due to the fact that the number of diagnosed cases is growing exponentially. Take this into consideration: Let's say that in survivors, the decease take 10 days to run its course so that doctors believe that the patient is out of danger. If there are 10 cases in week one, 30 cases in week two and 90 cases in week three, what is the "known" survival rate? Well, let's say that 2 of the cases from week 1 died and 8 survived. There has, to date, been an 80 percent survival rate. We have not clear picture of the survival rates for weeks 2 and 3 yet. What is certain is that the survival rate is NOT 8 divided by 130 ( the total number of cases to date). Moreover, because many early cases probably were never diagnosed, even the week one data may over estimate the legality, because, while we might be able to go back and yrace death cases where we now think the disease was involved, it may not be a simple matter to determine to true total number of cases in week one without screening a huge number of people who were ill with something, survived, but what the something really was remains a mystery.
The GOOD news is that epidemiologists swing into panic mode based on the exponential spread of the disease instead of waiting around for a few months of documented survival rates based on appropriate time of infection data.
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